Good Morning. It’s 1 November. Boris Johnson spent three months swearing blind that by now the UK would be out of the EU. But, for now, we’re still in (and Johnson’s poll ratings, far from being harmed, are looking as good as they ever have.
Today we should get an announcement that will have some bearing on Johnson’s election chances. Nigel Farage, the Brexit party leader, is holding his election campaign launch, and he should tell us how many seats his party will fight. There has been speculation that, instead of fighting most seats, as originally planned, it might only concentrate on a few dozen. The conventional wisdom is that that would benefit Labour but, as Rowena Mason reports in the Guardian’s overnight election lead, there is an argument that in some seats having the Brexit party on the ballot will actually help the Tories because it will hoover up more Labour votes.
Speaking on LBC this morning, before the launch at 11am, Farage refused to give clues as to whether his party would be fighting a national campaign, or a narrowly focused, constituency-specific one. He said:
Some newspapers are suggesting that we will fight vast numbers of seats, others think we will fight as few as 20 seats. I run a very tight ship, we don’t leak. I will reveal all later on today.
But he did restate his call for some sort of alliance with the Conservative party. He said:
I can assure you that most of what I say will be about Boris’s deal and the need, in my view, for some kind of Brexit alliance.
Here is the agenda for the day.
9am: Nicola Sturgeon, Scotland’s first minister and the Scottish National party leader, takes part in a campaign event in Edinburgh.
11am: Nigel Farage, the Brexit party leader, launches his party’s election campaign at the Emmanuel Centre in Westminster.
10.30am: Richard Leonard, the Scottish Labour leader, takes part in a campaign event in Fife.
12pm: Jackson Carlaw, the Scottish Conservative leader, launches a campaign ad van in Aberdeen.
As usual, I will be covering breaking political news as it happens, as well as bringing you the best reaction, comment and analysis from the web, although I will be focusing almost exclusively on general election developments. I plan to publish a summary when I wrap up.
You can read all the latest Guardian politics articles here. Here is the Politico Europe roundup of this morning’s political news. And here is the PoliticsHome list of today’s top 10 must-reads.
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